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1. Identificação
Tipo de ReferênciaArtigo em Revista Científica (Journal Article)
Sitemtc-m16d.sid.inpe.br
Código do Detentorisadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S
Identificador8JMKD3MGP7W/394PE4H
Repositóriosid.inpe.br/mtc-m19/2011/02.01.17.58   (acesso restrito)
Última Atualização2011:02.01.18.03.58 (UTC) administrator
Repositório de Metadadossid.inpe.br/mtc-m19/2011/02.01.17.58.44
Última Atualização dos Metadados2022:03.05.04.16.43 (UTC) administrator
Chave SecundáriaINPE--PRE/
DOI10.1016/j.jag.2010.09.008
ISSN1569-8432
Chave de CitaçãoMaedaAlXiFoShPe:2011:SiPaFu
TítuloDynamic modeling of forest conversion: Simulation of past and future scenarios of rural activities expansion in the fringes of the Xingu National Park, Brazilian Amazon
Ano2011
MêsJune
Data de Acesso19 maio 2024
Tipo de Trabalhojournal article
Tipo SecundárioPRE PI
Número de Arquivos1
Tamanho2218 KiB
2. Contextualização
Autor1 Maeda, Eduardo E.
2 Almeida, Cláudia Maria de
3 Ximenes, Arimatéa de Carvalho
4 Formaggio, Antonio Roberto
5 Shimabukuro, Yosio Edemir
6 Pellikka, Petri
Identificador de Curriculo1
2 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JGS3
Grupo1
2 DSR-OBT-INPE-MCT-BR
3 DSR-OBT-INPE-MCT-BR
4 DSR-OBT-INPE-MCT-BR
5 DSR-OBT-INPE-MCT-BR
Afiliação1 University of Helsinki, Department of Geosciences and Geography, Gustaf Hällströmin katu 2, 00014 Helsinki, Finland
2 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
3 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
4 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
5 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
6 University of Helsinki, Department of Geosciences and Geography, Gustaf Hällströmin katu 2, 00014 Helsinki, Finland
RevistaInternational Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation
Volume13
Número3
Páginas435-446
Nota SecundáriaA2_GEOCIÊNCIAS B4_GEOGRAFIA
Histórico (UTC)2011-07-25 13:29:19 :: marciana :: 2010 -> 2011
2011-07-25 13:31:21 :: marciana -> administrator :: 2011
2011-07-25 14:03:18 :: administrator -> marciana :: 2011
2011-11-04 12:16:47 :: marciana -> administrator :: 2011
2016-06-04 23:14:47 :: administrator -> marciana :: 2011
2016-08-19 13:18:21 :: marciana -> administrator :: 2011
2022-03-05 04:16:43 :: administrator -> marciana :: 2011
3. Conteúdo e estrutura
É a matriz ou uma cópia?é a matriz
Estágio do Conteúdoconcluido
Transferível1
Tipo do ConteúdoExternal Contribution
Tipo de Versãofinaldraft
Palavras-ChaveLand use change
Xingu National Park
Brazilian Amazon
Simulation model
Landscape dynamics.LAND-COVER-CHANGE
CELLULAR-AUTOMATA MODEL
LANDSCAPE DYNAMICS
DEFORESTATION
IMAGES
ResumoThe present work is committed to simulate the expansion of agricultural and cattle raising activities within a watershed located in the fringes of the Xingu National Park, Brazilian Amazon. A spatially explicit dynamic model of land cover and land use change was used to provide both past and future scenarios of forest conversion into such rural activities, aiming to identify the role of driving forces of change in the study area. The employed modeling platform Dinamica EGO consists in a cellular automata environment that embodies neighborhood-based transition algorithms and spatial feedback approaches in a stochastic multi-step simulation framework. Biophysical variables and legal restrictions drove this simulation model, and statistical validation tests were then conducted for the generated past simulations (from 2000 to 2005), by means of multiple resolution fitting methods. Based on optimal calibration of past simulations, future scenarios were conceived, so as to figure out trends and spatial patterns of forest conversion in the study area for the year 2015. In all simulated scenarios, pasturelands remained nearly stable throughout the analyzed period, while a large expansion in croplands took place. The most optimistic scenario indicates that more than 50% of the natural forest will be replaced by either cropland or pastureland by 2015. This modeling experiment revealed the suitability of the adopted model to simulate processes of forest conversion. It also indicates its possible further applicability in generating simulations of deforestation for areas with expanding rural activities in the Amazon and in tropical forests worldwide.
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4. Condições de acesso e uso
Idiomaen
Arquivo Alvoalmeida.pdf
Grupo de Usuáriosadministrator
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Grupo de Leitoresadministrator
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Visibilidadeshown
Política de Arquivamentodenypublisher denyfinaldraft
Permissão de Leituradeny from all and allow from 150.163
Permissão de Atualizaçãonão transferida
5. Fontes relacionadas
Repositório Espelhosid.inpe.br/mtc-m19@80/2009/08.21.17.02.53
Unidades Imediatamente Superiores8JMKD3MGPCW/3ER446E
Lista de Itens Citandosid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2013/09.13.21.11 3
DivulgaçãoWEBSCI; PORTALCAPES; MGA.
Acervo Hospedeirosid.inpe.br/mtc-m19@80/2009/08.21.17.02
6. Notas
Campos Vaziosalternatejournal archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel e-mailaddress electronicmailaddress format isbn label lineage mark nextedition notes orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype url
7. Controle da descrição
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